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Netanyahu bloc falls short of majority in Israeli election – exit polls: As it happened

Neither the prime minister’s allies nor the opposition appear to have enough seats to form a government
Published 27 Oct, 2026 12:48 | Updated 27 Oct, 2026 22:15
Netanyahu bloc falls short of majority in Israeli election – exit polls: As it happened

No major political bloc is projected to secure a parliamentary majority in Israel’s first election since the war with Hamas in Gaza broke out in 2023, according to exit polls released shortly after voting closed on Tuesday evening.

Exit polls by public broadcaster Kan 11 and commercial networks Channel 12 and Channel 13 project that the opposition bloc led by former Israel Defense Forces (IDF) chief of staff Gadi Eisenkot will win 52–53 seats in the 120-seat Knesset, compared with 50 for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s bloc. Channel 15 projects that Netanyahu’s bloc will win 55 seats, compared with 49 for Eisenkot’s bloc.

A total of 61 seats is needed to secure a parliamentary majority and form a government.

Voter turnout has reached a five-decade high as Netanyahu faces a crucial test of public confidence amid political scandals, corruption allegations, and wars with Hamas and Iran.

Eisenkot is unlikely to significantly alter Israel’s military or foreign policies. Instead, he has positioned himself as a patriotic centrist, seeking to distinguish himself from Netanyahu, whose leadership has been overshadowed by corruption allegations and accusations of putting his political interests ahead of national priorities.

Before the attack, Netanyahu faced corruption probes and was sinking in the polls as protesters took to the streets to oppose his controversial judicial reforms. Although the attack and subsequent war on Gaza bought Netanyahu some political breathing space, his opponents are now questioning how the prime minister could have left Israel undefended on October 7, and whether he ignored forewarnings about the attack.

Netanyahu has also been condemned for putting his interests before Israel’s by attempting to push IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir into a new military operation on the eve of the election, according to a Channel 12 report. Former Defense Minister Avigdor Liberman has demanded that the prime minister be investigated on suspicion of treason over the allegation.

Rising defense spending, higher living costs, and wartime tax hikes have further eroded Netanyahu’s popularity. An October 21 Jerusalem Post analysis of four major surveys put Eisenkot’s Yashar party at an average of 22.5 seats, compared with 19.75 for Netanyahu’s Likud.

Once the official results are announced, Israel is likely to enter a lengthy period of political horse-trading, with Netanyahu’s far-right allies and Arab parties potentially playing a decisive role in determining the country’s next government.

This live coverage has ended.

  • 27 October 2026

    20:54 GMT

    Videos circulating online show supporters of the Arab party Ra’am celebrating after exit polls projected seven seats for the party in the Knesset.

    The cheers reportedly grew louder as the projected seat totals – projected to be lower – for the right-wing parties led by Ben Gvir and Smotrich appeared on screen.

  • 20:46 GMT

    Reacting to the first exit poll projections, Eisenkot said they showed an “absolute lack of confidence” in Netanyahu’s government.

    He pledged to move immediately to replace the government and form a new coalition if the projections hold.

    “If these results are final, it is a victory for Israel’s Zionist, national majority,” he said, according to the Jerusalem Post.

  • 20:41 GMT

    Yair Golan’s Democrats are projected to more than double their representation in the Knesset, securing nine to ten seats, up from four in the outgoing parliament.

  • 20:26 GMT

    Eisenkot’s bloc is projected to win 52–53 seats, ahead of Netanyahu’s bloc at 50, according to exit polls released by Israel’s three major television broadcasters.

    Arab parties are projected to secure 17–18 seats, leaving neither major bloc with the 61 seats needed for a majority in the 120-seat Knesset.

  • 20:12 GMT

    Neither of Israel’s two main political blocs is projected to secure a majority in the 120-seat Knesset, according to an election-night exit poll by Channel 12.

    The broadcaster projects 52 seats for the opposition bloc led by Eisenkot, 50 for Netanyahu’s bloc and 18 for Arab parties.

    In that case, both major blocs would fall short of the 61 seats needed for a majority, leaving the formation of the next government uncertain.

    RT

  • 20:00 GMT

    Polling stations across Israel have closed after a day of exceptionally high voter turnout, with major television channels expected to release their first exit polls.

    The projections will provide an early indication of the balance of power between Netanyahu’s coalition and rival parties, although the final outcome will depend on the official vote count and subsequent coalition negotiations.

  • 19:52 GMT

    Polling stations across Israel are set to close soon, with major television channels expected to release their first exit polls as voting ends.

    The projections will offer an early indication of how many seats each party and rival political bloc could secure, although the figures remain preliminary.

    RT

  • 19:41 GMT

    Voters in a Bedouin town in southern Israel have faced waits of more than four hours to cast their ballots.

    Hundreds queued at a polling station, with some giving up and going home without voting, according to Haaretz.

  • 19:27 GMT

    New York Governor Kathy Hochul has said her job would be “a lot easier” if Netanyahu loses power following the election. The state is home to the largest Jewish population in the US.

    Israel needs leadership capable of ensuring its security while also pursuing the establishment of a Palestinian state, Hochul argued.

    “I still believe that this can happen,” she told Politico, but argued that Palestinian statehood would not be possible “as long as Netanyahu is sitting there.”

    RT

  • 19:17 GMT

    Turnout had reached 74.3% as of 8 pm local time, up from 66.3% at the same point in 2022, according to the Elections Committee.

    The figure is the highest recorded at that hour since 1988 and has already surpassed the final turnout of 70.6% in the previous election, with voting still underway.

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